EVENTS | 20 MAY 2021 Affordable Housing: The Catalyst For Post COVID Economic Recovery In Sub-Saharan Africa? Absa | Corporate and Investment Banking > Insights and Events > Affordable Housing: The Catalyst For Post COVID Economic Recovery In Sub-Saharan Africa Somaya Joshua Head: Commercial Property Finance (Africa Region) at Absa Corporate and Investment Bank SHARE Funding models for the affordable housing market in Africa require a re-think if the continent is serious about closing the gap between supply and demand for quality stock. This represents a significant opportunity for strategic partnerships between private developers and banks, which requires the development of new funding models that are fit-for-purpose for heterogeneous jurisdictions in sub-Saharan Africa. Quality entry-level property ownership is not only a determinant and driver of household and social welfare, it is also often the largest asset and contributor to economic wealth for most African families. An integral part to building a strong and sustainable middle-class is access to home-ownership (land and property rights), which remains limited for the majority of sub-Saharan Africans. When the secondary market for affordable housing becomes more developed, generational wealth and broader access to the economy becomes possible for people who have been historically under-served. Recent data from the International Finance Corporation (IFC) indicates that there are 40 000 new people born across African cities daily, many who will experience challenges accessing good quality affordable shelter. Kenya and Nigeria have been identified as high priority countries with an estimated shortfall of 2 million units in Kenya and an incredible 17 million in Nigeria. The below table from the Centre for Affordable Housing Finance (CAHF) 2020 Year Book highlights urbanisation rates across the continent: Country Urbanisation Rate % of Population Who Can Afford Cheapest House Botswana 3.21% 28.60% Ghana 3.31% 9.40% Kenya 4.02% 12.34% Mauritius -0.03% 78.44% Mozambique 4.40% 1.45% Namibia 3.87% 74.36% Seychelles 1.64% 56.23% Tanzania 5.07% 2.67% Uganda 5.99% 4.39% Zambia 4.15% 6.68% South Africa 2.09% 21.15% Source: CAHF The continent faces challenges in its response to demand that includes land availability, cost (including the prohibitive cost of land which makes it difficult to produce quality products at affordable pricing), access to funding, under-developed mortgage loan environments, access to equity and pre-sale requirements and financing solutions that make sense for all stakeholders. The World Bank and IFC highlight a lack of debt funding across the continent, pointing out that banks tracked in the West African Monetary Union (WAEMU) which services nations such as Benin, Burkina Faso, Ivory Coast, Mali, Niger, Senegal and Togo issue an average of 15 000 mortgages per year against demand for approximately 800 000 new units. As a bank, we believe that we require a public and private sector partnership framework that works to develop sustainable solutions to address housing shortages in the Affordable Housing Ecosystem, which includes: Land Availability Capital Availability (debt and equity) Skills Development Data driven Structural reforms End-user financing solutions In respect of access to finance, Development Funding Institutes (DFIs) such as the World Bank, IFC and other organisations have a mandate to unlock funding for this sector. Banks have an important role to play in championing blended funding models that present the opportunity to unlock home ownership for the ‘under-sheltered’ segment of the population. One of the biggest challenges that persist in the sector is limited availability of quality, real-time transactional data. Varying availability of data in key select markets impacts important elements such as credit scoring, depth of market, developing bankable funding solutions, project timelines and investor appetite amongst other important levers. Several Sub Saharan African markets have designated affordable housing as a strategic sector earmarking the delivery of housing as a public-sector led initiative. However, there are challenges to accurately sizing the market and understanding the effective demand, addressing the structural bottlenecks and taking stock of the housing units produced given the data limitations we face. At Absa, we have a team of Commercial Property Finance Affordable Housing specialists that provide innovative financial solutions to the sector. Affordable housing is a strategic focus for us as a Bank and we look forward to partnering with the supply-side of the market to identify opportunities for the delivery of housing solutions that will allow entry-level property ownership to be more than just a dream in Africa. Somaya JoshuaHead: Commercial Property Finance (Africa Region) at Absa Corporate and Investment Bank https://cib.absa.africa/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/file_example_MP3_700KB.mp3 Related Articles AWARDS Financial Mail Top Analyst Awards 2024 The annual Financial Mail Top Analyst Awards, in partnership with Iress and JSE, awards South Africa’s top analysts in the institutional stockbroking industry. 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