RISK MANAGEMENT | 17 October 2024

How Financial Institutions
Can Catalyse Sino-African
Trade

Absa-CIB-Author

Klaus Dieter Kaempfer

Chief Executive of Absa China

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In 1996, at the headquarters of the Organization of African Unity, then Chinese President Jiang Zemin delivered a seminal address charting a course for China’s engagement with Africa into the new millennium.

His speech encapsulated a vision based on five cornerstone principles: friendship, equality, solidarity and cooperation, common development, and a forward-looking relationship – laying the groundwork for an era of strengthened diplomatic and economic interactions.

Jiang’s vision has profoundly shaped the trajectory of Sino-African relations, primarily through the Forum on China–Africa Cooperation (FOCAC), an institutionalised forum established in 2000 that convenes every three years to facilitate trade, financing, and policy coordination between the two regions.

Since FOCAC's inception, the forum has facilitated over US$155 billion in Chinese lending to the continent, with bilateral trade surging to a record US$282 billion in 2023 – a 26-fold increase from the start of the initiative.

According to the World Economic Forum, primary commodities such as metals, mineral products, and fuel now make up nearly 60% of Africa's exports to China, while Chinese imports largely consist of manufactured goods, electronics, and machinery. Over the last two decades, Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) into Africa has also skyrocketed, rising from just $75 million in 2003 to a peak of $5 billion in 2022, accounting for roughly 4.4% of the region's total FDI.

The continuous expansion of trade and investment underscores the critical function of financial institutions in facilitating these multi-billion dollar flows between the continent and its largest trading partner.

With China's engagement with Africa evolving dramatically over the past two decades – from a focus on natural resources to broader investment in infrastructure, technology, health, and local enterprises – financial institutions are emerging as linchpins in realising the ambitious projects that headline FOCAC summits. Their ability to marshal significant capital, connect investors and entrepreneurs, manage risk, and navigate the complex regulatory environments across Africa's diverse nations is nothing short of foundational.

This is especially relevant when considering that China’s private sector, rather than its state-run enterprises, is expected to play an increasing role in driving trade and investment into Africa over the coming decade. Currently, over 70% of the 3000 Chinese enterprises invested in the continent are privately held, which will spur increasing demand for a deeper understanding of the diverse banking capabilities across various African markets.

African banks in particular will need to offer tailored risk management solutions and deep market insights that accommodate the complex socio-economic and political landscapes across the continent. These advisory services should extend to facilitating strategic partnerships and innovating financial products that support the unique demands of private sector investments. Moreover, as these businesses venture into new industries, the role of African banks will be crucial in ensuring that these investments are not only financially viable but also sustainable. This involves supporting greenfield projects and enhancing intra-African trade, fostering a more integrated and development-oriented economic landscape between China and Africa.

Some banks are already recognising the need to adapt. For instance, Absa recently established a non-banking subsidiary in Beijing to provide local support to Chinese clients and stakeholders transacting across Africa, with a focus on delivering crucial insights into the macroeconomic environment, assisting clients with their investment decisions, and providing end-to-end financial solutions.

It is clear that the future of China-Africa relations hinges not just on the commitments made by governments, but on the proactive leadership of financial institutions in both regions.

Banks must seize the opportunity to drive innovation in financial products, set new standards for sustainable investments, and shape the frameworks that will govern this next phase of economic integration.

Anything less risks leaving the full potential of this partnership unrealised.

Absa-CIB-Author
Klaus Dieter Kaempfer

Chief Executive of Absa China

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